Crime · World · Updated 2026-10-26
Which cities have the highest murder rates?
In the Consejo Ciudadano's ranking of cities with 300,000 or more people for 2025, Port-au-Prince, Haiti had the highest homicide rate, 197.43 per 100,000 (the group's own estimate), followed by Babahoyo, Ecuador (166.02) and Nelson Mandela Bay, South Africa (119.81), and 17 of the 50 cities are in Mexico; for the 39 cities where an official death or police register covers the same municipalities, the latest official rate (for 2024 or 2025) is within 25% of the ranking's 2025 rate in 19 and lower in 19.
Every figure in this summary is calculated from the sources listed on this page.
Homicide rate, Guayaquil (Ecuador)
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents. Guayaquil, Ecuador, as CCSPJP delimits it: the cantons of Durán, Guayaquil and Samborondón, Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEC 2024, UNODC 2022. Unit: per 100,000 people.
69.87per 100,000 people, 2025
63Trust scoreModerate certainty
Score breakdown
- Quality33 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement0 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence20 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|
| CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 91.12025 | Rank 8 of 50.Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (3,115) divided by 3,419,461 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: a homicide database by canton posted by news portals (Primicias, Investoria), with INEC population projections. Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 36. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26. | 2 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
- No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded homicides taken from official or published figures.
- No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. The interior ministry's open-data pages were down in January 2026, so CCSPJP used a database posted by news portals and judged it consistent with earlier official data.
| 24% |
| INEC general death register (EDG), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Ecuador (INEC) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 69.872024 | Deaths that occurred in 2024 in the cantons of Durán, Guayaquil and Samborondón, with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) (2,370), divided by INEC's projected population for 2024 (2024 revision, 3,391,898).2024 is the latest year published. Raw files: Datos_abiertos_EDG_2024.zip (EDG_2024_CSV.csv, columns causa, cant_fall, anio_fall) and Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx, sheet 3.3 (https://www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec/documentos/web-inec/Poblacion_y_Demografia/Proyecciones_Poblacionales/censo_2022/revision_2024_areas/Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx). | 5 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. INEC publishes the methodology, form and data dictionary for the register.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Ecuador's national statistics office.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered with the civil registry, not a sample.
- Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level data are a free download; population projections are a free Excel file.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 241 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 2,370 assault deaths.
| 60% |
| UNODC Data Portal, victims of intentional homicide, city-level dataUnited Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) · Police and justice recordsRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 51.822022 | Victims of intentional homicide in "Guayaquil" in 2022 (1,437), per 100,000 people, as national authorities reported them to UNODC.UNODC does not say which area the city covers; it is usually the city or municipality proper, not the wider area CCSPJP uses. 2022 is the latest year UNODC shows. Read from the Power BI table on 2026-10-26; values in scripts/most-violent-cities.manual.json, transcript in raw/most-violent-cities/unodc/. | 4 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. UNODC publishes the ICCS definition and metadata for its homicide data.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Figures submitted by national authorities through the UN crime trends survey.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded victims, not a sample.
- No: Raw data downloadable. The city table is only shown in an interactive Power BI report; there is no download file.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found.
| 17% |
Homicide rate, Tijuana (Mexico)
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents. Tijuana, Mexico, as CCSPJP delimits it: the municipalities of Tijuana and Playas de Rosarito, Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEGI 2024, UNODC 2022. Unit: per 100,000 people.
84.41per 100,000 people, 2025
64Trust scoreModerate certainty
Score breakdown
- Quality34.2 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement0 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence20 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
- CCSPJP14%
- INEGI68%
- UNODC19%
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|
| CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 57.92025 | Rank 18 of 50.Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (1,185) divided by 2,046,510 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: its own estimate: SESNSP counts of case files for each municipality, raised by a correction factor to approximate victims, with its own population estimates. Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 68. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26. | 1 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
- No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
- No: Full count or representative sample. An estimate, not a count of recorded victims.
- No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. CCSPJP's own estimate, not a count: SESNSP municipal case-file counts multiplied by a factor; its estimates for 2024 were below INEGI's death counts in most cities (report p. 70).
| 14% |
| INEGI death statistics (EDR), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 84.412024 | Deaths registered in 2024 with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) that occurred in the municipalities of Tijuana and Playas de Rosarito (1,907), as INEGI tabulates homicides by municipality of occurrence, divided by CONAPO's projected mid-year population for 2024 (2,259,194).2024 is the latest year with definitive microdata. Raw files: conjunto_de_datos_edr2024_csv.zip (counted from the microdata) and pobproy_quinq1.csv from CONAPO (https://www.datos.gob.mx/dataset/proyecciones-de-poblacion/resource/3c3092be-583e-4490-8c23-67ef9a64b198). INEGI's own population estimates are by state only (report 28/26, Tabla 4); CONAPO's municipal projections put Mexico's 2024 population at 132,274,416, 1.7% above INEGI's own estimate (130,047,269), so these rates may be slightly low. Counted by municipality of residence instead, the same deaths number 1,354; many victims have no known residence. | 5 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. INEGI publishes the method, ICD-10 coding and a data dictionary with the microdata.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Mexico's national statistics office.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered by civil registries and forensic services.
- Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level microdata are a free download; CONAPO's population file is a free CSV.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 458 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 1,907 assault deaths.
| 68% |
| UNODC Data Portal, victims of intentional homicide, city-level dataUnited Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) · Police and justice recordsRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 125.392022 | Victims of intentional homicide in "Tijuana" in 2022 (2,307), per 100,000 people, as national authorities reported them to UNODC.UNODC does not say which area the city covers; it is usually the city or municipality proper, not the wider area CCSPJP uses. 2022 is the latest year UNODC shows. Read from the Power BI table on 2026-10-26; values in scripts/most-violent-cities.manual.json, transcript in raw/most-violent-cities/unodc/. | 4 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. UNODC publishes the ICCS definition and metadata for its homicide data.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Figures submitted by national authorities through the UN crime trends survey.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded victims, not a sample.
- No: Raw data downloadable. The city table is only shown in an interactive Power BI report; there is no download file.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found.
| 19% |
Homicide rate, León (Mexico)
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents. León, Mexico, as CCSPJP delimits it: the municipalities of León, San Francisco del Rincón and Silao de la Victoria, Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEGI 2024, UNODC 2022. Unit: per 100,000 people.
50.29per 100,000 people, 2025
63Trust scoreModerate certainty
Score breakdown
- Quality33.1 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement0 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence20 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
- CCSPJP14%
- INEGI71%
- UNODC15%
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|
| CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 29.792025 | Rank 50 of 50.Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (624) divided by 2,096,556 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: its own estimate: SESNSP counts of case files for each municipality, raised by a correction factor to approximate victims, with its own population estimates. Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 68. The published rate differs slightly from the published count divided by the published population (29.76), as CCSPJP shows its estimated counts rounded; the published rate is used. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26. | 1 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
- No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
- No: Full count or representative sample. An estimate, not a count of recorded victims.
- No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. CCSPJP's own estimate, not a count: SESNSP municipal case-file counts multiplied by a factor; its estimates for 2024 were below INEGI's death counts in most cities (report p. 70).
| 14% |
| INEGI death statistics (EDR), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 50.292024 | Deaths registered in 2024 with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) that occurred in the municipalities of León, San Francisco del Rincón and Silao de la Victoria (1,111), as INEGI tabulates homicides by municipality of occurrence, divided by CONAPO's projected mid-year population for 2024 (2,209,184).2024 is the latest year with definitive microdata. Raw files: conjunto_de_datos_edr2024_csv.zip (counted from the microdata) and pobproy_quinq1.csv from CONAPO (https://www.datos.gob.mx/dataset/proyecciones-de-poblacion/resource/3c3092be-583e-4490-8c23-67ef9a64b198). INEGI's own population estimates are by state only (report 28/26, Tabla 4); CONAPO's municipal projections put Mexico's 2024 population at 132,274,416, 1.7% above INEGI's own estimate (130,047,269), so these rates may be slightly low. Counted by municipality of residence instead, the same deaths number 1,048; many victims have no known residence. | 5 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. INEGI publishes the method, ICD-10 coding and a data dictionary with the microdata.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Mexico's national statistics office.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered by civil registries and forensic services.
- Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level microdata are a free download; CONAPO's population file is a free CSV.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 94 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 1,111 assault deaths.
| 71% |
| UNODC Data Portal, victims of intentional homicide, city-level dataUnited Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) · Police and justice recordsRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 10.952022 | Victims of intentional homicide in "León" in 2022 (187), per 100,000 people, as national authorities reported them to UNODC.UNODC does not say which area the city covers; it is usually the city or municipality proper, not the wider area CCSPJP uses. 2022 is the latest year UNODC shows. Read from the Power BI table on 2026-10-26; values in scripts/most-violent-cities.manual.json, transcript in raw/most-violent-cities/unodc/. | 3 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. UNODC publishes the ICCS definition and metadata for its homicide data.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Figures submitted by national authorities through the UN crime trends survey.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded victims, not a sample.
- No: Raw data downloadable. The city table is only shown in an interactive Power BI report; there is no download file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. UNODC's 2022 count (187) is far from INEGI's death count for the municipality of León in the same year (812), computed from INEGI's microdata.
| 15% |
Homicide rate, Babahoyo (Ecuador)
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents. Babahoyo, Ecuador, as CCSPJP delimits it: the cantons of Babahoyo, Puebloviejo and Ventanas, Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEC 2024. Unit: per 100,000 people.
116.93per 100,000 people, 2025
64Trust scoreModerate certainty
Score breakdown
- Quality33.1 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement4.8 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence16 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|
| CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 166.022025 | Rank 2 of 50.Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (527) divided by 317,436 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: a homicide database by canton posted by news portals (Primicias, Investoria), with INEC population projections. Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 36. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26. | 2 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
- No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded homicides taken from official or published figures.
- No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. The interior ministry's open-data pages were down in January 2026, so CCSPJP used a database posted by news portals and judged it consistent with earlier official data.
| 29% |
| INEC general death register (EDG), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Ecuador (INEC) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 116.932024 | Deaths that occurred in 2024 in the cantons of Babahoyo, Puebloviejo and Ventanas, with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) (370), divided by INEC's projected population for 2024 (2024 revision, 316,421).2024 is the latest year published. Raw files: Datos_abiertos_EDG_2024.zip (EDG_2024_CSV.csv, columns causa, cant_fall, anio_fall) and Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx, sheet 3.3 (https://www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec/documentos/web-inec/Poblacion_y_Demografia/Proyecciones_Poblacionales/censo_2022/revision_2024_areas/Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx). | 5 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. INEC publishes the methodology, form and data dictionary for the register.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Ecuador's national statistics office.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered with the civil registry, not a sample.
- Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level data are a free download; population projections are a free Excel file.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 18 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 370 assault deaths.
| 71% |
Homicide rate, Machala (Ecuador)
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents. Machala, Ecuador, as CCSPJP delimits it: the cantons of Arenillas, El Guabo, Machala, Pasaje and Santa Rosa, Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEC 2024. Unit: per 100,000 people.
88.65per 100,000 people, 2025
70Trust scoreModerate certainty
Score breakdown
- Quality33.1 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement11 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence16 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|
| CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 116.652025 | Rank 4 of 50.Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (693) divided by 594,081 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: a homicide database by canton posted by news portals (Primicias, Investoria), with INEC population projections. Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 36. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26. | 2 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
- No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded homicides taken from official or published figures.
- No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. The interior ministry's open-data pages were down in January 2026, so CCSPJP used a database posted by news portals and judged it consistent with earlier official data.
| 29% |
| INEC general death register (EDG), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Ecuador (INEC) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 88.652024 | Deaths that occurred in 2024 in the cantons of Arenillas, El Guabo, Machala, Pasaje and Santa Rosa, with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) (523), divided by INEC's projected population for 2024 (2024 revision, 589,948).2024 is the latest year published. Raw files: Datos_abiertos_EDG_2024.zip (EDG_2024_CSV.csv, columns causa, cant_fall, anio_fall) and Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx, sheet 3.3 (https://www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec/documentos/web-inec/Poblacion_y_Demografia/Proyecciones_Poblacionales/censo_2022/revision_2024_areas/Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx). | 5 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. INEC publishes the methodology, form and data dictionary for the register.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Ecuador's national statistics office.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered with the civil registry, not a sample.
- Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level data are a free download; population projections are a free Excel file.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 5 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 523 assault deaths.
| 71% |
Homicide rate, Quevedo (Ecuador)
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents. Quevedo, Ecuador, as CCSPJP delimits it: the cantons of Quevedo, Buena Fe and El Empalme, Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEC 2024. Unit: per 100,000 people.
65.2per 100,000 people, 2025
59Trust scoreLow certainty
Score breakdown
- Quality33.1 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement0 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence16 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|
| CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 109.012025 | Rank 5 of 50.Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (433) divided by 397,226 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: a homicide database by canton posted by news portals (Primicias, Investoria), with INEC population projections. Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 36. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26. | 2 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
- No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded homicides taken from official or published figures.
- No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. The interior ministry's open-data pages were down in January 2026, so CCSPJP used a database posted by news portals and judged it consistent with earlier official data.
| 29% |
| INEC general death register (EDG), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Ecuador (INEC) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 65.22024 | Deaths that occurred in 2024 in the cantons of Quevedo, Buena Fe and El Empalme, with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) (257), divided by INEC's projected population for 2024 (2024 revision, 394,202).2024 is the latest year published. Raw files: Datos_abiertos_EDG_2024.zip (EDG_2024_CSV.csv, columns causa, cant_fall, anio_fall) and Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx, sheet 3.3 (https://www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec/documentos/web-inec/Poblacion_y_Demografia/Proyecciones_Poblacionales/censo_2022/revision_2024_areas/Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx). | 5 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. INEC publishes the methodology, form and data dictionary for the register.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Ecuador's national statistics office.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered with the civil registry, not a sample.
- Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level data are a free download; population projections are a free Excel file.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 27 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 257 assault deaths.
| 71% |
Homicide rate, Culiacán (Mexico)
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents. Culiacán, Mexico, as CCSPJP delimits it: the municipality of Culiacán, Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEGI 2024. Unit: per 100,000 people.
60.1per 100,000 people, 2025
61Trust scoreModerate certainty
Score breakdown
- Quality34.7 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement0 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence16 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|
| CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 103.912025 | Rank 6 of 50.Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (1,086) divided by 1,045,017 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: its own estimate: SESNSP counts of case files for each municipality, raised by a correction factor to approximate victims, with its own population estimates. Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 68. The published rate differs slightly from the published count divided by the published population (103.92), as CCSPJP shows its estimated counts rounded; the published rate is used. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26. | 1 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
- No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
- No: Full count or representative sample. An estimate, not a count of recorded victims.
- No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. CCSPJP's own estimate, not a count: SESNSP municipal case-file counts multiplied by a factor; its estimates for 2024 were below INEGI's death counts in most cities (report p. 70).
| 17% |
| INEGI death statistics (EDR), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 60.12024 | Deaths registered in 2024 with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) that occurred in the municipality of Culiacán (647), as INEGI tabulates homicides by municipality of occurrence, divided by CONAPO's projected mid-year population for 2024 (1,076,523).2024 is the latest year with definitive microdata. Raw files: conjunto_de_datos_edr2024_csv.zip (counted from the microdata) and pobproy_quinq1.csv from CONAPO (https://www.datos.gob.mx/dataset/proyecciones-de-poblacion/resource/3c3092be-583e-4490-8c23-67ef9a64b198). INEGI's own population estimates are by state only (report 28/26, Tabla 4); CONAPO's municipal projections put Mexico's 2024 population at 132,274,416, 1.7% above INEGI's own estimate (130,047,269), so these rates may be slightly low. Counted by municipality of residence instead, the same deaths number 481; many victims have no known residence. | 5 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. INEGI publishes the method, ICD-10 coding and a data dictionary with the microdata.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Mexico's national statistics office.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered by civil registries and forensic services.
- Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level microdata are a free download; CONAPO's population file is a free CSV.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 15 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 647 assault deaths.
| 83% |
Homicide rate, Manabí Centro (Ecuador)
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents. Manabí Centro (Manta-Portoviejo), Ecuador, as CCSPJP delimits it: the cantons of Jaramijó, Manta, Montecristi, Portoviejo, Rocafuerte and Santa Ana, Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEC 2024. Unit: per 100,000 people.
69.52per 100,000 people, 2025
60Trust scoreModerate certainty
Score breakdown
- Quality33.1 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement0.4 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence16 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|
| CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 103.772025 | Rank 7 of 50.Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (911) divided by 877,933 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: a homicide database by canton posted by news portals (Primicias, Investoria), with INEC population projections. Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 36. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26. | 2 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
- No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded homicides taken from official or published figures.
- No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
- No: No known break or quality problem. The interior ministry's open-data pages were down in January 2026, so CCSPJP used a database posted by news portals and judged it consistent with earlier official data. The ranking table (911 homicides, 877,933 people) does not match the report's own canton table (614 and 867,404, rate 70.79) on p. 42.
| 29% |
| INEC general death register (EDG), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Ecuador (INEC) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 69.522024 | Deaths that occurred in 2024 in the cantons of Jaramijó, Manta, Montecristi, Portoviejo, Rocafuerte and Santa Ana, with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) (603), divided by INEC's projected population for 2024 (2024 revision, 867,404).2024 is the latest year published. Raw files: Datos_abiertos_EDG_2024.zip (EDG_2024_CSV.csv, columns causa, cant_fall, anio_fall) and Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx, sheet 3.3 (https://www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec/documentos/web-inec/Poblacion_y_Demografia/Proyecciones_Poblacionales/censo_2022/revision_2024_areas/Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx). | 5 of 5 checks- Yes: Method and definitions published. INEC publishes the methodology, form and data dictionary for the register.
- Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Ecuador's national statistics office.
- Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered with the civil registry, not a sample.
- Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level data are a free download; population projections are a free Excel file.
- Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 67 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 603 assault deaths.
| 71% |