How many more people died than expected in 2020 and 2021 in each country?
WHO's estimates for 2020 and 2021 combined run from -178.75 excess deaths per 100,000 people in Grenada to 912.83 in North Macedonia; where WHO and the World Mortality Dataset both give a figure (95 countries) they differ by under 50 per 100,000 in 82, and WHO's estimate is above the COVID-19 deaths reported to WHO in 162 of 194 countries.
excess deaths per 100,000 people, 2020 and 2021 combined
Year varies by country (2021) · grey: no figure
Too small or not separate on this map: Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba, Gibraltar, Guadeloupe, French Guiana, Martinique, Mayotte, Réunion, Tokelau, Tuvalu. Each colour is one figure per country: 2020 and 2021 combined, not one year, for the year shown in the ranking and when you point at a country.With "How sure" on, hatching marks countries whose latest figure has a trust score below 60 (Low or Very low).
All countries
Each source's value links to its publisher; point at it for the source and year. A value in brackets is shown but doesn't count, and pointing at it says why. Retrieved 2026-11-02.
COVID-19 deaths reported to WHO per 100,000 people, 2020 and 2021 combined (WHO dashboard)
Each line is the source that counts most for that group.
| Group | Figure | Year | Trust |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aruba | 168.5 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Afghanistan | 18.53 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Angola | 5.17 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Anguilla | 33.59 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Albania | 112.08 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Andorra | 180.39 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| United Arab Emirates | 22.66 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Argentina | 261.06 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Armenia | 276.68 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| American Samoa | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 129.21 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Australia | 9.46 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Austria | 186.75 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Azerbaijan | 81.75 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Burundi | 0.11 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Belgium | 245.04 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Benin | 1.22 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba | 81.89 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Burkina Faso | 1.46 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bangladesh | 16.81 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bulgaria | 441.4 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bahrain | 93.67 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bahamas | 180.98 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 410.06 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Belarus | 59.78 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Belize | 151.78 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bermuda | 164.28 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bolivia (Plurinational State of) | 165.41 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Brazil | 295.81 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Barbados | 92.21 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Brunei Darussalam | 13.56 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Bhutan | 0.39 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Botswana | 102.89 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Central African Republic | 1.98 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Canada | 78.17 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Switzerland | 137.45 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Chile | 201.42 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| China | 0.4 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 2.43 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Cameroon | 6.98 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | 1.26 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Congo | 6.34 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Cook Islands | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Colombia | 254.97 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Comoros | 19.38 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Cabo Verde | 68.37 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Costa Rica | 145.64 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Cuba | 74.54 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Curaçao | 100.9 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Cayman Islands | 15.86 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Cyprus | 49.31 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Czechia | 344.61 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Germany | 140.74 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Djibouti | 16.98 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Dominica | 69.71 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Denmark | 55.75 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Dominican Republic | 38.36 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Algeria | 14.12 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Ecuador | 191.09 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Egypt | 19.72 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Eritrea | 2.26 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Spain | 191.26 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Estonia | 137.39 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Ethiopia | 5.75 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Finland | 34.82 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Fiji | 76.17 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Falkland Islands (Malvinas) | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| France | 188.15 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Faroe Islands | 26.45 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Micronesia (Fed. States of) | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Gabon | 12.26 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| United Kingdom | 262.25 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Georgia | 363.69 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Guernsey | 37.95 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Ghana | 4.06 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Gibraltar | 273.82 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Guinea | 2.89 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Guadeloupe | 204.59 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Gambia | 13.47 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Guinea-Bissau | 7.32 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Equatorial Guinea | 10.08 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Greece | 191.93 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Grenada | 171.59 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Greenland | 1.78 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Guatemala | 92.08 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| French Guiana | 116.79 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Guam | 165.69 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Guyana | 129.47 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Honduras | 102.23 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Croatia | 317.25 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Haiti | 6.83 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Hungary | 402.72 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Indonesia | 52.23 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Isle of Man | 79.66 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| India | 34.14 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Ireland | 121.62 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Iran (Islamic Republic of) | 149.57 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Iraq | 56.71 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Iceland | 10.03 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Israel | 93.11 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Italy | 229.57 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Jamaica | 87.07 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Jersey | 86.19 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Jordan | 115.07 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Japan | 14.59 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Kazakhstan | 92.93 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Kenya | 10.2 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Kyrgyzstan | 12.75 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Cambodia | 17.86 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Kiribati | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | 59.8 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Republic of Korea | 10.84 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Kuwait | 56.92 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Lao People's Democratic Republic | 5.03 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Lebanon | 159.45 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Liberia | 5.51 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Libya | 80.32 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Saint Lucia | 165.24 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Liechtenstein | 177.31 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Sri Lanka | 66.17 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Lesotho | 29.83 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Lithuania | 264.51 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Luxembourg | 100.01 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Latvia | 254.2 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Saint Martin (French part) | 128.13 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Morocco | 40.36 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Monaco | 99.15 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Republic of Moldova | 336.87 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Madagascar | 3.5 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Maldives | 51.45 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Mexico | 238.78 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Marshall Islands | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| North Macedonia | 449.55 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Mali | 2.98 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Malta | 94.46 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Myanmar | 36.21 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Montenegro | 375.53 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Mongolia | 59.87 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Northern Mariana Islands | 27.41 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Mozambique | 6.39 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Mauritania | 18.49 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Montserrat | 22.28 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Martinique | 220.52 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Mauritius | 61.33 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Malawi | 11.9 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Malaysia | 92.39 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Mayotte | 64 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Namibia | 131.6 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| New Caledonia | 98.72 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Niger | 1.14 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Nigeria | 1.4 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Nicaragua | 3.29 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Niue | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Netherlands | 118.61 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Norway | 25.86 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Nepal | 39.66 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Nauru | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| New Zealand | 1 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Oman | 100.21 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Pakistan | 12.19 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Panama | 171.9 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Peru | 613.57 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Philippines | 45.71 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Palau | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Papua New Guinea | 5.95 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Poland | 254.59 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Puerto Rico | 101.67 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Dem. People's Republic of Korea | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Portugal | 181.99 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Paraguay | 250.02 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| State of Palestine | 96.16 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| French Polynesia | 227.47 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Qatar | 22.11 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Réunion | 47.22 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Romania | 303.72 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Russian Federation | 211.28 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Rwanda | 10.21 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Saudi Arabia | 28.47 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Sudan | 7.04 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Senegal | 11.11 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Singapore | 14.9 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Saint Helena | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Solomon Islands | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Sierra Leone | 1.54 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| El Salvador | 61.21 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| San Marino | 284.29 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Somalia | 7.85 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Saint Pierre and Miquelon | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Serbia | 184.51 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| South Sudan | 1.26 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 25.92 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Suriname | 193.18 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Slovakia | 304.91 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Slovenia | 288.02 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Sweden | 147.84 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Eswatini | 108.24 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 181.57 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Seychelles | 103.6 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Syrian Arab Republic | 13.55 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Turks and Caicos Islands | 58.01 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Chad | 1.03 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Togo | 2.83 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Thailand | 30.26 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Tajikistan | 1.27 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Tokelau | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Turkmenistan | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Timor-Leste | 9.11 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Tonga | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 190.4 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Tunisia | 212.69 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Türkiye | 95 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Tuvalu | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| United Republic of Tanzania | 1.19 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Uganda | 7.3 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Ukraine | 207.83 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Uruguay | 181.4 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| United States of America | 241.09 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Uzbekistan | 2.54 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Holy See | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 80.37 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) | 18.8 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| British Virgin Islands | 103.66 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| United States Virgin Islands | 101.68 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Viet Nam | 32.87 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Vanuatu | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Wallis and Futuna Islands | 60.34 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Samoa | 0 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244) | 169.69 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Yemen | 5.42 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| South Africa | 149.17 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Zambia | 19.29 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
| Zimbabwe | 31.91 | 2020–2021 | 52 Low |
Show every year as a table
| Year |
|---|
About this data
Every source on this page (4)
Who is behind the sources
- 85% International body
- 11% News media
- 4% University or journal
Each publisher, its funding and its own description
- World Health Organization (WHO) · International bodyFunding: Assessed contributions (membership dues) from member states, plus voluntary contributions from member states and other partners. sourceIn its own words: “…WHO is the United Nations agency that connects nations, partners and people to promote health…” source, retrieved 2026-10-27
- The Economist · News mediaFunding: Privately owned and unlisted; its ordinary shares are held mainly by employees, past employees, long-standing family holders and EXOR NV, which holds 43.4% of share capital excluding trust shares, and no one may own more than 50%. sourceIn its own words: “…continues to produce journalism of sometimes radical opinion with a reverence for facts.” source, retrieved 2026-11-02
- World Mortality Dataset (Karlinsky and Kobak) · University or journalFunding: Compiled by Ariel Karlinsky (Hebrew University, Israel) and Dmitry Kobak (University of Tübingen, Germany); the project's eLife paper lists grants to Kobak from the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the U.S. National Institutes of Health. sourceIn its own words: “…the World Mortality Dataset that aims to provide regularly-updated all-cause mortality numbers from all over the world.” source, retrieved 2026-11-02
- WHO COVID-19 dashboard, daily reported deathsUsed for 232 countries and territories; counts toward 232. Years 2021. Retrieved 2026-11-02.Data (CSV file)
- WHO global excess mortality estimates 2020-2021 (May 2023 release)Used for 194 countries and territories; counts toward 194. Years 2021. Retrieved 2026-11-02.Data (zip file)
- The Economist excess deaths modelUsed for 236 countries and territories; counts toward 123. Years 2021. Retrieved 2026-11-02.Not counted where: The Economist says it takes most of its all-cause deaths from the World Mortality Dataset, which has a line here, so the two are not separate collections.Data (CSV file)
- World Mortality Dataset excess deaths, January 2020 to December 2021 (Karlinsky and Kobak)Used for 114 countries and territories; counts toward 19. Years 2021. Retrieved 2026-11-02.Not counted where: WHO names this dataset among its repositories, so WHO's line and this one share deaths data and differ mainly in the baseline.Data (CSV file)
Why the numbers differ (11)
- Each source subtracts a different expected number. WHO fits a yearly linear trend and a seasonal curve, usually to 2015-2019 where a country has monthly history and usually to 2000-2019 where it has only yearly totals. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- The World Mortality Dataset fits a linear trend across years and a separate term for each week or month, to 2015-2019. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- The Economist's own baselines fit a linear trend for year and a term for each week or month, on data up to February 2020. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- Many countries have no all-cause death data for the period. In the WHO workbook 88 of 194 Member States are modelled for all 24 months and 95 rest on reported deaths for all 24; The Economist models all or part of the period for 127 of 236 places. The World Mortality Dataset models no deaths and so has 114 countries here. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- Sources treat incomplete registers and other events differently. WHO adjusts reported deaths for completeness, and its methods document describes removing deaths from other mortality shocks (conflicts and natural disasters), so its figures are not unrestricted all-cause excess either. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- The World Mortality Dataset uses registered deaths and its published excess is not always deaths minus expected: Armenia 15,882 against 19,882; Azerbaijan 32,796 against 36,796; Belgium 18,902 against 20,428; Germany 87,403 against 91,660; France 78,463 against 80,008; Luxembourg 12 against 43; Netherlands 27,983 against 28,646. The authors subtract 4,000 deaths in each of Armenia and Azerbaijan for the 2020 war and exclude weeks 32-34 of 2020 in the five European countries. Those lines get half weight where they count. Its paper says coverage varies by country and gives Peru as an example of an estimate that may be too low. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- Excess deaths and reported COVID-19 deaths measure different things. Excess deaths count deaths from every cause, apart from any deaths a source removes for other events. WHO says some COVID-19 deaths may not have been certified as such, that countries certify differently, and it treats excess deaths as direct effects plus knock-on effects, minus deaths averted. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- The population bases differ. WHO lines and reported deaths here use UN WPP 2024 on 1 January 2021; the World Mortality Dataset uses its own base (mostly UN WPP 2022 for 2020, with national figures for Russia and Ukraine); The Economist uses the population column in its file. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- The cut-off dates are close but not identical. WHO runs by calendar month to December 2021; weekly World Mortality Dataset countries run to week 52 of 2021; The Economist's export labels weekly rows by their first day, so its row labelled 2021-12-27 is a weekly approximation of the period and gets half weight where it counts. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- These are not fully separate collections. The Economist says it takes most of its all-cause deaths from the World Mortality Dataset, so wherever that dataset has a line the Economist line is shown but not counted (113 places). It counts only where the dataset has no data. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- WHO also names the World Mortality Dataset among its repositories, so where both give a figure the two share deaths data and differ mainly in the baseline. There WHO's line counts and the dataset's is shown for comparison. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
Common mistakes (5)
- Reading a table figure as a yearly rate. Each table figure is a total for two years, so it can't be set beside a one-year death rate. Only the WHO chart points are per calendar year.
- Calling excess deaths "COVID deaths". They are all deaths above an expected number, whatever the cause. WHO describes both direct and indirect effects and deaths averted. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- Adding reported COVID-19 deaths to excess deaths. Reported deaths are part of all deaths, so the two overlap.
- Treating a negative figure as a measured fall. It means fewer deaths than expected, and WHO says it can also be an artefact of the model's assumptions. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- Quoting a central estimate without its range. The Economist says the 95% range should be reported when ranges are not very narrow, and each line here gives the range its source publishes. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
Context (6)
- WHO: global excess deaths associated with COVID-19, data set page with the methods paper and workbooks Retrieved 2026-11-02.
- Karlinsky and Kobak (2021), the World Mortality Dataset paper in eLife, including its data limitations Retrieved 2026-11-02.
- World Mortality Dataset: sources of all-cause deaths country by country Retrieved 2026-11-02.
- The Economist: code, data and notes on interpreting its excess deaths model Retrieved 2026-11-02.
- WHO COVID-19 dashboard: data notes and downloadable files Retrieved 2026-11-02.
- WHO: how complete each country's death registration is Retrieved 2026-10-25.
Sources considered and not used (8)
- IHME COVID-19 excess mortality estimates 2020-2021: The record page offered no file link to a scripted request, and RealStats does not register for accounts. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- The Economist methodology article: economist.com refused a scripted download with an HTTP 403, so the method facts here come from The Economist's public GitHub repositories only. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- World Mortality Dataset lines for Algeria, Argentina, Belarus, Cabo Verde, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Gibraltar, Jamaica, Panama, United Arab Emirates: The published file has a figure or a blank for these, but the data behind it did not cover all of 2020 and 2021: Algeria (data end 2020, month 12); Argentina (data end 2020, month 12); Belarus (data end 2021, month 3); Cabo Verde (data end 2020, month 12); Dominican Republic (data end 2021, month 10); El Salvador (data end 2020, month 8); Gibraltar (data end 2021, month 1); Jamaica (data end 2021, month 11); Panama (data end 2021, month 10); United Arab Emirates (data end 2020, month 12). A shorter period is a different number, so they are left out. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- World Mortality Dataset excess-mortality.csv: This table runs to December 2023, so it does not match the fixed period on this page. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- WHO excess mortality estimates, March 2022 files: The page gives 19 May 2023 as its most recent update, so the earlier files are superseded. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- COVID-19 death columns in the World Mortality Dataset and Economist files: These are other bodies' reported counts passed on, so the page takes reported deaths from WHO's own file instead.
- WHO weekly COVID-19 file: Its dates fall either side of the end of 2021. The daily file from the same dashboard has a row for 31 December 2021. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
- WHO reported deaths for China, Hong Kong SAR, China, Macao SAR, China, Taiwan Province of China, Pitcairn, Transnistria, Western Sahara: No row on that date, or no UN population to divide by, so these places have no reported rate here. Deaths on international conveyances are also left out. (source, retrieved 2026-11-02)
Download, compare, cite and report an error
- Download every value on this page (CSV)
- Compare with another statistic
- Cite as: RealStats, “How many more people died than expected in 2020 and 2021 in each country?”, updated 2026-11-02, with the original sources listed on the page. Scores use formula version 1.0.
- Report an error on this page