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Homicide rate in Guayaquil, Ecuador

69.87

homicide victims per 100,000 residents, 2024

Moderate trust, 63 of 100 The sources disagree: their figures run from 51.82 to 91.1.

All citiesAll of Ecuador's figures

Guayaquil, Ecuador among 50 cities

15 have a higher figure and 34 a lower one. Definitions differ between cities, and their years run from 2022 to 2025.

Lowest: Santo Domingo (Ecuador), 12.21Highest: Port-au-Prince (Haiti), 197.43
What this number counts
Counts
Intentional homicide victims per 100,000 residents
Where
Guayaquil, Ecuador, as CCSPJP delimits it: the cantons of Durán, Guayaquil and Samborondón
When
Latest year from each source: CCSPJP 2025, INEC 2024, UNODC 2022 (each source's latest year)

The INEC figure (2024). When sources differ, we show the middle one, with better sources counting more.

Where the number comes from (3 sources)
SourceFigure and yearDefinitionQualityCounts for
CCSPJP ranking of the 50 most violent cities in the world, 2025Consejo Ciudadano para la Seguridad Pública y la Justicia Penal A.C. (CCSPJP) · Independent countRetrieved 2026-10-26
91.12025
Rank 8 of 50.

Intentional homicide victims in 2025 (3,115) divided by 3,419,461 residents, for the city as CCSPJP delimits it (all municipalities that form one continuous urban area). Source for this country: a homicide database by canton posted by news portals (Primicias, Investoria), with INEC population projections.

Table 1, pp. 7-8; sources and calculations for this country in section 5, from p. 36. The report was read from the Internet Archive copy; CCSPJP's own site (seguridadjusticiaypaz.org.mx, hosted at geoenlace.net) redirected to an error page on 2026-10-26.

2 of 5 checks
  • Yes: Method and definitions published. CCSPJP publishes an 85-page methodology with its city definitions, sources and calculations.
  • No: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Compiled by a Mexican civil-society organisation, not an official statistics office or a peer-reviewed study; it uses official counts where it can and its own estimates elsewhere.
  • Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded homicides taken from official or published figures.
  • No: Raw data downloadable. Only a PDF report with tables; no data file.
  • No: No known break or quality problem. The interior ministry's open-data pages were down in January 2026, so CCSPJP used a database posted by news portals and judged it consistent with earlier official data.
24%
INEC general death register (EDG), deaths by assaultInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Ecuador (INEC) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 · Data (zip file)
69.872024
Deaths that occurred in 2024 in the cantons of Durán, Guayaquil and Samborondón, with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09) (2,370), divided by INEC's projected population for 2024 (2024 revision, 3,391,898).

2024 is the latest year published.

Raw files: Datos_abiertos_EDG_2024.zip (EDG_2024_CSV.csv, columns causa, cant_fall, anio_fall) and Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx, sheet 3.3 (https://www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec/documentos/web-inec/Poblacion_y_Demografia/Proyecciones_Poblacionales/censo_2022/revision_2024_areas/Tabulados_Estimacion_Proyeccion_v2.xlsx).

5 of 5 checks
  • Yes: Method and definitions published. INEC publishes the methodology, form and data dictionary for the register.
  • Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Official statistics from Ecuador's national statistics office.
  • Yes: Full count or representative sample. Full count of deaths registered with the civil registry, not a sample.
  • Yes: Raw data downloadable. Record-level data are a free download; population projections are a free Excel file.
  • Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found: 241 deaths of undetermined intent (Y10-Y34) against 2,370 assault deaths.
60%
UNODC Data Portal, victims of intentional homicide, city-level dataUnited Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) · Police and justice recordsRetrieved 2026-10-26
51.822022
Victims of intentional homicide in "Guayaquil" in 2022 (1,437), per 100,000 people, as national authorities reported them to UNODC.

UNODC does not say which area the city covers; it is usually the city or municipality proper, not the wider area CCSPJP uses. 2022 is the latest year UNODC shows.

Read from the Power BI table on 2026-10-26; values in scripts/most-violent-cities.manual.json, transcript in raw/most-violent-cities/unodc/.

4 of 5 checks
  • Yes: Method and definitions published. UNODC publishes the ICCS definition and metadata for its homicide data.
  • Yes: Official statistics or peer-reviewed. Figures submitted by national authorities through the UN crime trends survey.
  • Yes: Full count or representative sample. A count of recorded victims, not a sample.
  • No: Raw data downloadable. The city table is only shown in an interactive Power BI report; there is no download file.
  • Yes: No known break or quality problem. No problem found.
17%

Better and more direct sources count for more. A source that only copies another does not count.

  • CCSPJP24%
  • INEC60%
  • UNODC17%
How the trust score was worked out
Quality33 / 40

How well the sources are made

Agreement0 / 30

How close the sources are to each other

Independence20 / 20

How many separate ways the number was measured

Freshness10 / 10

How recent the newest data is

How the score works

Who reports it, and since when

Which kinds of source measure this number, which years each one published, and where the reporting stops or has holes.

  • UNODC: no figure here after 2022, while others reach 2025
Years each source has a figure here
'22'25CCSPJPINECUNODC

figure no figure here, inside its range no later figure recorded change

Why the numbers differ
  • City boundaries: CCSPJP adds up every municipality that forms one continuous urban area with the city (built-up areas less than 10 km apart), while UNODC and many official tables report the city or municipality proper. A metro-area rate and a single-municipality rate are not the same number. (source, retrieved 2026-10-26)
  • Population estimates: each rate depends on its denominator. CCSPJP makes its own population estimates for Mexican municipalities and Trinidad, and takes Port-au-Prince's from a commercial website, while the official lines here use each statistics office's own projections (CONAPO, IBGE, DANE, INEC) or the FBI's population figures.
  • CCSPJP's own estimates: for Mexico it raises SESNSP's municipal counts of case files by a correction factor, because SESNSP publishes victims only by state; for Port-au-Prince it assigns 70% of a national total projected from UN figures. In 2024 its Mexican estimates were below INEGI's death counts in 17 of 20 cities (report p. 70). (source, retrieved 2026-10-26)
  • Years differ: the ranking is for 2025, while the latest definitive death registers are for 2024 and UNODC's city data stop in 2022 or earlier.
  • Death registers count deaths whose certified cause is assault, by where the death occurred; police records count victims of crimes the police recorded, by where the crime was recorded. Deaths coded as "undetermined intent" can hide homicides in the death registers.
Common mistakes
  • The ranking is not a list of every city in the world: it only includes cities of 300,000 or more people with published or estimable data, and it excludes deaths in armed conflict, so cities in war zones or in countries without city data cannot appear. (source, retrieved 2026-10-26)
  • Numbeo's "Crime Index" and other website rankings built from visitor surveys measure how safe people feel, not homicide rates. (source, retrieved 2026-10-26)
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From the table Which cities have the highest murder rates? Updated 2026-10-26.

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Cite as: RealStats, “Homicide rate in Guayaquil, Ecuador”, updated 2026-10-26, with the original sources listed on the page.

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